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Today, 9 days before the presidential elections, TNS opinion is presenting the results of its survey "Poll: Armenia on the Eve of Presidential Elections" describing the voting preferences and motivations of the Armenian voters, but also their views on the on-going campaigns of the various candidates. 

For this TNS opinion poll, implemented together with their local partner IPSC, 1 609 face-to-face interviews were conducted in all 10 regions (marzes) and 12 communities of Yerevan between 31 January and 5 February 2013, using the highest possible standards and extensive quality control measures. The poll was commissioned by European Friends of Armenia in order to contribute to a factual debate ahead of the elections.

According to the survey, Serzh Sargsyan keeps his own voters and also wins some votes from PAP, but Raffi Hovannisian’s campaign is convincing to voters of Heritage, but also attracts voters from Prosperous Armenia and even those of the Republican Party.

Serzh Sargsyan still leads the presidential race. While Raffi Hovannisian gains most during the campaign phase, there is no significant change for the other candidates.

If presidential elections took place last week, based on “valid” responses (without “don’t know”, “refuse to answer”, “no one”, “not vote in elections”), Serzh Sargsyan would have scored 58%, while Raffi Hovannisian 33%.

Paruyr Hayrikyan managed to strengthen his position among his own voters. He scores 4.9 %. Hrant Bagratyan scores 2.8% of the valid votes. Like in January, the remaining four of the eight official candidates are largely unknown to the poll respondents and altogether score less than 1.5% of valid votes.