Comments 10:06 26/04/2014

‘Transparency is hardly only problem of Afghan elections’

Many things are required to rebuild Afghanistan after so many decades of war and it is far more than any election is going to be able to put into power, Phyllis Bennis, director at the Institute for Policy Studies, told RT.

RT: The Afghans are taking several weeks just to count all the votes. Will such a lengthy process ensure more transparency?

Phyllis Bennis: I don’t think transparency is the biggest problem. There is a huge problem of the nature of the election in the country that is still at war. This is a situation where you have thousands upon thousands of paper ballots that need to be transported across a very contested territory. It is going to take a very long time and transparency is hardly the only problem. There is a big question whether any election in this context of war can be considered free and fair. There were many incidents of violence on the day of the election, but even aside from that the question who was able to run, who was able to campaign, who was able to get to the voting booths and who was not remains a huge problem in Afghanistan.

RT: What are the potential risks for the country if no candidate secures at least 50 percent of the vote and a runoff has to take place?

PB: I think everyone is anticipating that there will not be 50 percent for any candidate. The two most likely candidates, Abdullah Abdullah and Ashraf Ghani, together make up only about 70 percent of the total votes, so it’s almost certain that there will be a runoff. The reality is that for most Afghans, whoever gets elected it’s not going to change their situation very much.

The level of violence is going to continue, the fact that Afghanistan remains the worst country in the world in terms of child mortality, for instance, is not likely to change, and both of the top candidates have made a decision ahead of time that they would be willing to sign on to an agreement with the US to keep the US and NATO troops in the country long after the end of this year. That means that they are going to have to deal with question of immunity what ended the presence of US troops in Iraq when the Iraqi Parliament refused to agree to what the president wanted, which was an agreement to give immunity to the US soldiers. Whether the Afghan government is prepared to do that, we don’t know yet. But that’s one thing that could result in a full withdrawal of the US troops from Afghanistan.

RT: The vote's already been hailed as a success by Western observers but is such optimism really justified?

PB: I think the vote was a success in the sense that many people went to the polls and they voted. So in that sense the form of democracy was carried out. We don’t know yet, we haven’t had the first or the second result yet from the two different committees that have to vet the results for the issues of fraud, vote tempering etc., we haven’t heard that yet. But even if that happens, I think that we have the form but it would be a far-stretched to say that we have the substance of democracy in Afghanistan. This is the country that does not, unlike Iraq, have a long history of a strong central government. For many years President Karzai was known as ‘a major of Kabul’ because his influence is really only extended as far as the borders of the city. So what it is going to take to rebuild Afghanistan after so many decades of war is far more than any election is going to be able to put into power.

RT: Kabul has still not secured a security pact with Washington that would see thousands of American troops remain after the NATO pullout. Is there a chance this pact won't materialize at all?

PB: Right now it looks like it will happen because both of the leading candidates have said they would sign it. The big question is that nobody has been talking about very publicly is whether this agreement will include the guarantee of immunity for all the US troops and war crimes they might commit.

We know from President Obama that his intention in keeping something between 10,000 and 20,000 US troops in Afghanistan after 2014, is that they will not be involved in country insurgency, winning hearts and minds, helping to rebuild the country. They will be there to kill bad guys that means to kill Afghans, people who the US says, somebody told them, is a bad guy. Now whether that leads to the killing of civilians in large numbers as it has for so many years, we can only assume that it will. And if that’s the case whether the Afghan government is prepared to allow those responsible right up the chain of command and including the soldiers on the ground to be immune from being held accountable in Afghanistan’s own judicial system, that’s the big question. That’s what we don’t know yet.

RT: Would Afghan security forces be able to contain the Taliban without foreign assistance? And even with a few thousand American troops helping out would that be enough to hold back the insurgency?

PB: I don’t think we’ve seen a situation even when there were 150,000 US troops in the country. We have not seen a situation where the Afghan military and police were able to ‘keep the Taliban at bay’. This is the situation where the Afghan military is essentially one more militia, it is one that's the biggest and the one backed and armed by the US. But at the end of the day it’s a sectarian based militia accountable to the government that does not have very much support in the country. So that’s going to be a huge problem whether or not there is a small number of the US troops there.

RT: After 12 years of foreign support and billions of dollars in aid, Afghanistan is still one of the most corrupt countries in the world. Will the new president be able to change anything?

PB: This is one of the big questions. Certainly the president has a certain amount of influence within his own cabinet, within his own government, but the culture of corruption in this government is very strong and the notion of the election of one more president is going to somehow change that would be very optimistic.

What we saw with President Karzai, there were not very strong allegations of his involvement personally in corruption, but he certainly surrounded himself with people who tolerated huge levels of corruption in every component of the government. I don’t really see the power of a new president being able to change that any time soon.

RT: Why is the drug business in Afghanistan so developed? Will it possible to resolve this problem with a new president in power?

PB: I think for the same reason the drug businesses flourish in other parts of the world. For many people this is the only way they can make a living, for many people growing poppies it is the only realistic crop they can grow. They have no access to the roads, to transport. Pulling in a pound for some kind of opium is a lot easier to transport than the tons of wheat that you have to grow to make the same amount of money. So all of the questions about undeveloped character of Afghan infrastructure, its poverty, all of those that feed the drug production and the drug trade. Until that changes, I don’t think that any new laws that might be passed are likely to have much impact in the outlying areas of the country where the vast majorities of Afghans live. 



Source Panorama.am
Share |
Տեքստում սխալ կամ վրիպակ նկատելու դեպքում, ուղարկեք խմբագրին հաղորդագրություն` նշելով տվյալ սխալը, այնուհետև սեղմելով Ctrl-Enter:

Newsfeed

17:13
Opposition MP: Armenian leadership trying to legitimize Artsakh genocide
Opposition Hayastan faction MP Ishkhan Saghatelyan accused Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s government of attempting to...
16:35
ARF Hai Tad: Karabakh conflict remains on international political agenda
The ARF Bureau Hai Tad Central Council issued the following statement on the first anniversary of the ethnic cleansing of...
16:05
Complaint filed to ICC prosecutor one year after Azeri attack on Artsakh
A year after Azerbaijan attacked Nagorno-Karabakh and forced the displacement of almost its entire population of over 100,000, a complaint for...
15:36
Archbishop Bagrat Galstanyan marks first anniversary of Azeri attack on Artsakh
Archbishop Bagrat Galstanyan expressed support for Armenian prisoners held in Azerbaijan, including Artsakh's military and political...
15:05
CoE urges Georgia to review entry ban on Arsen Kharatyan
The Council of Europe's Safety of Journalists Platform urges Georgia to review the entry bans imposed on journalists Andrei Mialeshka and...
14:30
Rep. Schiff seeks seizure of Azerbaijani assets to fund Artsakh Revenue Recovery
Congressman Adam Schiff (D-CA) – the ANCA endorsed candidate for California’s U.S. Senate seat – has introduced a bi-partisan...
14:06
Armenian health minister reports decline in West Nile virus cases
Armenia saw a decline in the outbreak of West Nile fever in the past week, Health Minister Anahit Avanesyan said on Thursday....
13:36
Artsakh people have undeniable right to self-determination and return: statement
The Committee for the Defense of the Fundamental Rights of the People of Nagorno-Karabakh (Artsakh) issued a statement on the first...
13:15
Artsakh leader deplores Armenian government officials' statements
Artsakh President Samvel Shahramanyan, other Artsakh governmnet officials and lawmakers paid tribute to fallen soldiers at the Yerablur Pantheon...
12:35
Rain, storms hit most parts of Armenia
Rain and thunderstorms combined with strong winds are expected in most parts of Armenia on Thursday and over the coming days. Hail and...
12:01
Political prisoner Narek Malyan walks free after one year behind bars
Political prisoner Narek Malyan walked free on Thursday after serving a one-year prison sentence. Malyan’s family, friends and...
11:36
Armenia marks first anniversary of ethnic cleansing in Artsakh
The Armenian Foreign Ministry on Thursday issued a statement on the one-year anniversary of the forced displacement...
11:15
Victims of Azerbaijani war crimes to testify in Washington D.C. for first time
For the first time ever, on the one year anniversary of the fall of Nagorno-Karabakh, on September 19, 2024, victims of Azerbaijani war crimes...
11:00
Armenian teams remain among leaders at Chess Olympiad
The Armenian national teams remain among the leaders in the 45th FIDE Chess Olympiad, the Chess Federation of Armenia reports. In the...
17:03
Foreign diplomats accredited in Azerbaijan visit Dadivank
Heads of embassies, international organizations and military attachés accredited in Azerbaijan on Wednesday visited the monastery of...
16:36
German tourist dies after shark attack in Spain
A German tourist died after being bitten by a shark on Monday while sailing off Spain's Canary Islands, the coastguard said. The...
16:14
Pyunik to be put up for sale, president says
Pyunik FC President Artur Soghomonyan has announced plans to put the club up for sale and leave professional football in Armenia. In a...
15:30
Moscow strongly disagrees with Pashinyan's criticism of CSTO – Kremlin
Moscow disagrees with Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan who claimed that the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) poses a threat...
15:15
The Bambir manifest with a fresh roar in their new album 'Mankakan Khagher'
The Bambir, an inexhaustible source and a force in the Armenian, Post-Soviet and European rock music scene, is set to unveil their...
15:06
Former Armenian chief justice accuses court of bias
The First Instance Court of General Jurisdiction in Yerevan’s Kentron district on Wednesday continued hearings on the trial of Hrayr...
14:33
Pashinyan doesn't rule out natural gas imports from Azerbaijan
Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan says Armenia could consider importing natural gas from Azerbaijan after the possible conclusion of a bilateral...
13:58
Kate Middleton returns to official engagements
Kate, the Princess of Wales, held her first official engagement Tuesday since announcing last week that she had completed her cancer...
13:36
Armenia won't miss any realistic chance of becoming EU member, Pashinyan says
Armenia will not miss any realistic opportunity to to become a full member of the European Union, Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan said on...
13:15
Borrell urges Georgia to scrap anti-LGBTQ bill
Top EU diplomat Josep Borrell on Wednesday urged Georgia to withdraw a "family values" bill denounced as curbing LGBTQ rights, warning...
12:56
CSTO still views Armenia as equal partner, chief says
The Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) still considers Armenia as an equal partner and is ready for a dialogue on all issues, CSTO...
12:36
Armenian authorities foil coup plot
The National Security Service (NSS) has thwarted an attempt to usurp power in Armenia. The suspects involved five Armenian citizens and two...
11:58
Pashinyan says CSTO poses threats to Armenia's security
The Moscow-led Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) threatens Armenia's security and sovereignty, Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan...
11:33
Hrayr Tovmasyan's trial continues
The First Instance Court of General Jurisdiction in Yerevan’s Kentron district on Wednesday continued hearings on the trial of Hrayr...
11:15
Why can’t Pashinyan remember the document he signed at the end of the 2020 war?
By Harut Sassounian www.thecaliforniacourier.com It is incomprehensible that Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan would forget important...
11:00
Israel's Mossad planted explosives in 5,000 Hezbollah pagers
Israel's Mossad spy agency planted explosives inside 5,000 pagers imported by Lebanese group Hezbollah months before Tuesday's...

Follow us and get updates!

Most popular articles

{"core.blocks.header.spell_message1":"Selected mistake: ","core.blocks.header.spell_message2":"Send a message about the mistake?"}