Comments 09:43 07/04/2015

‘Drone strikes remarkably ineffective in countering terrorism’

The US drone campaign against ISIS has been a failure. It created an illusion that Americans can engage in countering terrorism without a big loss of life, but only boots on the ground can make it a success, Max Abrahms of Northeastern University told RT.

RT: The US led coalition has carried out numerous strikes on Islamic State positions, but the terror group seems to remain defiant. Does this indicate that Western nations are fighting the organization the wrong way?

Max Abrahms: Yes, I agree with that. Since 2008 the cornerstone of US counter terrorism has been a drone campaign. It is easy to understand why the country might be tempted to use a drone campaign. The basic idea is that we can weaken a militant group by taking out the leadership with this drone technology. But in practice drone strikes have been remarkably ineffective at basically doing what they are supposed to.

There are all sorts of research on the strategic effect of drones. People have looked at it whether using drones, expedite the demise of militant groups, whether it reduces their ability to generate violence, whether the attacks become more infrequent. In general I’m not persuaded by the research suggesting that drones are an effective strategy- they’ve been a failure certainly with Islamic State, but also with al Qaeda, Taliban, al-Shabaab, AQAP [al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula]. Yet, we stick to this strategy. I think one of the reasons why we do is because it creates the illusion that Americans can engage in counter terrorism without a big loss of life…When we use drones there maybe collateral damage but at least there aren’t boots on the ground - I think that is what the Obama administration is counting on. In reality for counter insurgency, or counter terrorism to be successful you need boots on the ground.

In some cases it can be helpful to have drones, but always you need boots on the ground. That is one of the reasons why our counter insurgency campaign in Iraq is going much better than it is in Syria… In Iraq, yes, we were using some airpower, but were also be very reliant on Shia militia on the ground there who were absolutely indispensable to retaking Tikrit.

In the US many Americans have contempt and fear for the Shia militia because some of them have ties with Iran. But in reality we should be grateful to the Shia militia - they don’t always act in accordance with US preferences but the Tikrit operation simply would not have gone as well without their critical support. By contrast, in Syria we’re relying on our drones, airpower, but we don’t really have boots on the ground with the exception of in Kobani. And when we use airpower with boots on the ground and the Kurds helped us out in that one city we were also successful…

RT: The coalition's actions against the Islamic State were not agreed on with the Syrian government, so the fight against the terrorists is not coordinated. Why has it not been coordinated?

MA: As far back as August of last year I wrote an op-ed in The New York times advocating for the Assad regime to work with Washington because we have a mutual enemy in Islamic State. If there were that kind of collaboration, the US would’ve been very helpful with airpower and the Assad regime we would have benefited from their boots on the ground, from their army. Together we would have been much more successful at combating IS.

But there was this notion in the US that the Assad regime “had blood on his hands,” that it wasn’t a democratic country, and he was reportedly guilty of all sorts of abuses against the civilian population. Thus, for moral reasons rather than strategic reasons the Obama administration said that not only can we not work with the Assad regime but the Assad regime has to go. Increasingly it is becoming obvious that the Assad regime is not going to disappear any time soon. So Washington is relaxing its language with respect to whether we could ever coexist with Assad. Although still actual military cooperation between the Assad regime and the US is pretty much non-existent. That contrast very starkly with US relations with Shia militia on the ground in Iraq. The latest assaults on Tikrit in order to win back that city from IS was very much a joint operation between the Iranians, the Shia, Iraq, the military in Baghdad coupled with the US airstrikes. It is very interesting that Washington is so opposed to working with the Assad regime but seems much less hesitant with respect to working with the Iranians (Shias) which are a close ally of Assad in Iraq.

RT: Islamic State is advancing in Syria's Yarmouk region and has taken most of one of the refugee camps with civilians being forced to flee. Will the impact on civilians make the coalition review the way it tries to fight Islamic State?

MA: Right now the Assad regime is providing some relief to the Yarmouk refugee camp. That could win over allies in the Muslim world because, let’s face it- not just in a Muslim world but in the international community people have very conflictive views about the Assad regime. Now the IS and al-Nusra have invaded this Palestinian refugee camp and harmed civilians, etc. - that makes the Assad regime look comparatively better. I think that it’s a strong PR move by the Assad regime to try to lend some relief to these refuges. One of the very interesting things about what happened on Wednesday when IS went into Yarmouk camp - is that they went in the camp with the assistance of al-Nusra, the Al- Qaeda affiliate there. Increasingly they are working together. 



Source Panorama.am
Share |
Տեքստում սխալ կամ վրիպակ նկատելու դեպքում, ուղարկեք խմբագրին հաղորդագրություն` նշելով տվյալ սխալը, այնուհետև սեղմելով Ctrl-Enter:

Newsfeed

17:00
Armenian church honors St Gregory the Thaumaturgus and others
The Armenian Apostolic Church on Saturday commemorates St Gregory the Thaumaturgus, Nicholas the Bishop and St Myron the Wonderworker....
16:30
Banner at Armenian church in Watertown vandalized, police say
A banner at St. Stephen’s Armenian Church in Watertown has been vandalized, Watertown News reports, citing local police. The...
16:02
At least 3 arrested as Montreal anti-NATO protests turns violent
Montreal police say at least three people were arrested after protests turned violent Friday evening, with demonstrators throwing objects at...
15:45
Expert: Armenia pinned hopes on 'European fairy tales' and became isolated
Arthur Khachikyan, an international relations expert from Stanford University, claims the Armenian government’s poor foreign...
15:07
Armenian-Russian relations 'in agony', expert says
Hayk Khalatyan, a political analyst at the Verelq Information and Analytical Center, on Saturday accused Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan and his...
14:32
Powerful Israeli airstrike kills 11 people in central Beirut
A powerful airstrike killed 11 people in central Beirut on Saturday, the Lebanese civil defence said, shaking the capital as Israel pressed its...
14:15
Expert: Armenian-Azeri talks somewhat stalled
Political analyst Suren Sargsyan claims the Armenian-Azerbaijani peace talks have somewhat stalled amid the change of government in the United...
13:33
Temperatures set to plunge next week
Clear weather is expected in Armenia's regions over the weekend. Rain and snow are forecast for most parts of the country next week....
13:06
Magnitude 4․3 quake hits Azerbaijan, felt in Armenia
A magnitude 4․3 earthquake struck Azerbaijan on Saturday afternoon. The quake was recorded 42 km northeast of the town of Goris in...
12:35
Opposition MP slams Pashinyan's Western Armenia remarks
Opposition Hayastan faction MP Levon Kocharyan has blasted Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's remarks on Western Armenia and Baku’s fake...
12:00
MP Hovik Aghazaryan says decided on his parliament seat
MP Hovik Aghazaryan of Armenia’s ruling Civil Contract party has made a decision on his parliament seat. The deputy has told the media...
11:36
US lawmakers request classified briefing on Turkey’s ties to Hamas
More than three dozen Democratic and Republican lawmakers are calling on the Biden administration to offer a classified briefing on...
11:15
Armenia's Mushegh Mkrtchyan wins bronze at World Military Wrestling Championships
Armenian serviceman Mushegh Mkrtchyan (92 kg) has clinched a bronze medal at the 37th CISM World Military Wrestling Championships in Yerevan,...
11:00
Switzerland bans exports to Polish firm after Swiss-made ammunition ends up in Ukraine
The Swiss government said Friday it is barring exports to a Polish military hardware supplier after concluding that some 645,000 rounds of...
17:12
Armenia to face Georgia in Nations League play-off
The 2024/25 UEFA Nations League knockout stage and play-off ties have been confirmed following the draw in Nyon, Switzerland on Friday....
16:36
Hayk Marutyan agrees to debate with Tigran Avinyan
New Power party leader Hayk Marutyan has agreed to a TV debate with incumbent Yerevan Mayor Tigran Avinyan. Marutyan, a former Yerevan...
15:45
Opposition politician: Pashinyan leading Armenia to 'final collapse'
Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s administration is leading Armenia to the “final collapse” and Turkification, opposition...
15:05
Caretaker deputy justice minister sacked
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan has signed a decree to dismiss Armenuhi Harutyunyan as Acting Deputy Minister of Justice....
14:35
Armenian parliament speaker confirms MP's resignation
National Assembly Speaker Alen Simonyan has issued a statement on the resignation of Narek Zeynalyan as an MP from Armenia’s ruling Civil...
14:06
Visa restricts media access to key event in Yerevan
Visa has restricted the media access to the Cashless Forum 2024 to be held in Yerevan for the first time on November 22. Only...
13:36
Orban says he will invite Netanyahu to Hungary after ICC warrant
Prime Minister Viktor Orban said on Friday he would invite Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to visit Hungary, saying he would guarantee...
13:11
Temps to plummet in Armenia
Clear weather is expected in Armenia's regions on Friday and over the weekend. Rain and snow are forecast for most parts of the country...
12:32
Alexis Ohanian showcases rare Armenian coin
Reddit co-founder Alexis Ohanian has showcased a rare Armenian coin from 95 BC featuring Tigranes the Great, a famous Armenian king....
12:16
German foreign minister criticizes Azerbaijan's human rights record
German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock criticized the human rights record of Azerbaijan during her first appearance at the UN Climate Change...
12:06
Minister shares new images captured by Armenia's first satellite
Armenia's Minister of High-Tech Industry Mkhitar Hayrapetyan has shared new satellite images from orbit captured by ARMSAT-1,...
11:36
World Cadet Chess Championship passes its halfway mark
The 2024 World Cadet Chess Championship has passed its halfway mark in Montesilvano, Italy. After 6 rounds, in the Open 12 category CM...
11:15
Iran to launch 'new and advanced centrifuges' in response to IAEA censure
Iran said Friday it would launch a series of "new and advanced" centrifuges in response to a resolution adopted by the IAEA that...
11:00
Armenian, Iranian foreign ministers hold phone call
Armenian Foreign Minister Ararat Mirzoyan on Thursday had a telephone conversation with his Iranian counterpart Seyed Abbas Araghchi....
17:07
Winter military draft starts in Armenia on November 25
The winter conscription for compulsory military service starts in Armenia on November 25 to run through January 31, 2025. The...
16:45
Russian spokeswoman told not to comment on ballistic missile strike live on air
Russia's foreign ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova received a phone call during a live press briefing on Thursday telling her not to...

Follow us and get updates!

Most popular articles

{"core.blocks.header.spell_message1":"Selected mistake: ","core.blocks.header.spell_message2":"Send a message about the mistake?"}