The Guardian: Armenia will be winner of Eurovision 2015
The Guardian - It is time once again for Eurovision, the annual kitschy Europop extravaganza, taking place this year in Vienna, Austria.
We’re having a shot at predicting who is going to follow in the footsteps of Conchita Wurst as the winner of the contest.
Our model is not based on the quality of the songs (or the lack thereof), but on an average of votes each participating nation received over the past 12 years, which is then adjusted for factors that include present day geopolitics, form in more recent editions, past performance and tempo.
So without further ado, the Guardian data prediction for Eurovision 2015 winner is...
Armenia!
Genealogy’s controversial “Face the Shadow” references the mass murder of 1.5m Armenians by the Ottoman Empire in 1915. It was originally called “Don’t Deny” – Turkey still contests that it was not a genocide, and this title was deemed too political by Eurovision organisers.
Other countries our model expects will make the top 10 include Serbia, Sweden, and Azerbaijan.
The predicted top 10
Armenia
Serbia
Sweden
Azerbaijan
Greece
Russia
Hungary
Belgium
Georgia
Norway