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Political scientist Sergei Minasyan has ruled out the possibility of large-scale hostilities in the Karabakh conflict zone.

“I don’t think that Azerbaijan may hope to win by launching large-scale military operations,” S. Minasyan told a press conference today when speaking about the likelihood of large-scale hostilities in the Karabakh conflict zone.

In his words, Azerbaijan’s behavior is due to a variety of factors. “I do not rule out that Azerbaijan’s military leadership had to take that step so as to respond to the previous losses,” the political scientist said.

Minasyan indicated the domestic political tension in Azerbaijan as another factor. “This year the financial and economic situation has further worsened in Azerbaijan,” he said adding that Azerbaijani authorities probably resorted to military actions amid social and economic tension in order to distract the attention of Azerbaijani society.

He indicated the growing criticism of the West over the human rights situation in Azerbaijan as a third possible factor.

“Although those actions were unprecedented indeed, it does not mean they will lead to large-scale operations in the near future. History of recent decades shows that it is not always that such actions result in a war,” S. Minasyan said.

The political scientist noted at the same time that the current situation contributes to nervousness in Armenia and Nagorno Karabakh, which should raise concerns, first of all in Azerbaijan: “The moment is coming when the Armenian side may think about whether there is a point in waiting and if deterrence is the best option”.