Analyst: Armenia has two scenarios for the future
Analyst and expert on US foreign policy Suren Sargsyan on Wednesday outlined two scenarios for Armenia’s future.
“Armenia has two scenarios for the future:
1. Adopting a strategy for regaining Artsakh and focusing all national resources on it;
2. Accepting the act of capitulation and building the future around the prospect of the alleged unblocking of the region, making the capitulation the “fundamental document” of the state. Any third scenario is a modification of one of these two,” he wrote on Facebook.
Sargsyan underlined that the two scenarios are mutually exclusive.
“1. "Unlocking", in the broadest sense of the word, will not happen if we pick the first scenario.
2. Even if we accept the second scenario, both Azerbaijan and Turkey will always take into account the prospects of the first scenario. The capitulation makes it clear that, first of all, this prospect is very vague, secondly, it is not beneficial, and most importantly, “unlocking” can again turn into a “blockade” in a matter of hours.
3. Incidentally, the vagueness of the second scenario is also linked to the fact that Turkey and Azerbaijan still have territorial claims against Armenia.
4. The continued rule of the current authorities of Armenia excludes the first scenario.
5. It also excludes the second option, because the authorities, being the author and supporter of the second scenario, will fail even that one,” the analyst said.