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Panorama.am has talked to Tigran Abrahamyan, the secretary of the opposition Pativ Unem bloc and founder of the Henaket analytical center, over the ongoing developments in the South Caucasus region and, in particular, around Armenia and Artsakh

Panorama.am: Amid Azerbaijan’s attempts to advance further into the territory of the Artsakh Republic, capture of a favorable strategic height, refusal to withdraw its forces from Armenia’s state borders and implement the ICJ order to unblock the Artsakh corridor, which has created a very dangerous situation, do you think that Azerbaijan may resort to active military action against the background of the new military recruitment announced by Russia from April 1, which entails the start of a new stage of military operations in Ukraine.

Or is the "step-by-step" advance without taking any responsibility more beneficial to Azerbaijan?

Tigran Abrahamyan: In the context of the developments in the South Caucasus, and especially around Armenia and Artsakh, at the moment the tensions are also quite high and the probability of escalation is getting bigger. The Ukrainian crisis, naturally, has a big impact on our region, especially when the main actor in the region is focused on Ukraine, let alone the confrontation between Russia and the West, which is taking a lot of energy from both sides.

Azerbaijan considers this as a favorable situation for non-fulfillment of its commitments and the use of force, while Turkey, taking advantage of the situation, is trying to increase its role in the region. In both cases, Armenian interests are being trampled, because Turkey and Azerbaijan seek to incapacitate Armenia and strengthen their positions at the expense of Armenia's interests in an effort to reach their goals.

To be continued…